Click on chart to enlarge, courtesy of BNP Paribas.
The US manufacturing sector continues to grow and outperform other sectors of the economy. February’s Richmond Fed manufacturing survey jumped to 25 from 18 in the month prior. Earlier this month the Philly Fed index surged to 35.9, the highest level since January of 2004, while the Empire manufacturing index improved to 15.4 following a 11.9 reading in the previous month. However, on an ISM-adjusted basis, all three indexes in February were slightly below the ISM index in January; supporting our forecast for a small decline in the Manufacturing ISM in February (see chart below).Click on chart to enlarge, courtesy of BNP Paribas.