Wednesday, August 24, 2011

Danske: Disease That Takes Time To Cure

I am back, but I cannot promise the posting will be regular going forward.

My "focus list" consisting of Spanish and Italian bonds, and JPY worked well, however all of those instruments have experienced interventions by central banks and cannot be considered as leading indicators anymore.

The liquidity crisis usually resolves with a victim, and while none of fundamental macro problems have been solved, the liquidity will just postpone the resolution.

However, for the greedy people we all are, I would be still cautious beyond the obvious speculative action. Danske Bank had a good reminder yesterday, see the picture below, but you decide whether the witch-hunt has ended.

Click on picture to enlarge, courtesy of Danske Bank Markets.