Thursday, June 23, 2011

80 JPY In Focus Too

Another "inflection point" on my screens is the mark of 80 Japanese yens (JPY) per 1 US dollar. This is rather important for Japan in watching the Chinese slowdown.

"... Preliminary China June PMI Falls to 11-Month Low", as per WSJ.com today:


The preliminary HSBC PMI declined from a final reading of 51.6 in May, while the manufacturing output sub-index fell to an 11-month low of 50 from the previous month's 50.9, HSBC Holdings PLC said Thursday.


Of course, the soft landing in China is consensus view, but the tight liquidity situation may bring some "fat tails". However, the 80 JPY mark will show where the market goes ...

Click on chart to enlarge, courtesy of Reuters.

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