Wednesday, April 08, 2009

Taleb's Ten Principles For A Black Swan-Proof World

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has listed his 10 principles at FT (with full commentary) today, alternatively excerpts available also at Economist's View:

1. What is fragile should break early while it is still small.
2. No socialisation of losses and privatisation of gains.
3. People who were driving a school bus blindfolded (and crashed it) should never be given a new bus.
4. Do not let someone making an “incentive” bonus manage a nuclear plant – or your financial risks.
5. Counter-balance complexity with simplicity.
6. Do not give children sticks of dynamite, even if they come with a warning .
7. Only Ponzi schemes should depend on confidence.
8. Do not give an addict more drugs if he has withdrawal pains.
9. Citizens should not depend on financial assets or fallible “expert” advice for their retirement.
10. Make an omelette with the broken eggs.

Full commentary makes it easier to understand ...

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