Friday, February 05, 2010

US Employment & Tax Receipts

While the market waits for US non-farm payrolls fantasy today, economists at Societe Generale have some nice charts today, linking employment and tax receipts:
In the US, personal taxes are the biggest source of government revenue. They make up 70% of current tax receipts vs. 21% from corporate taxes. Since the start of recession and job losses in early 2008, personal tax receipts have dropped by 32%, or by 3% of GDP. In other words, the drop in employment is responsible for nearly half of the widening in fiscal deficit over the past 2 years.

Click on charts to enlarge, courtesy of Societe Generale.

Would bond vigilantes appreciate improvements in employment?

But watch for quality of that employment improvement! Government hiring may be misleading ...

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