Thursday, August 13, 2009

Buying Halt Just For A Nanosecond?

Supply side economics marches on. The US Retail Sales were worse than expected, and Bloomberg reports:

Aug. 13 (Bloomberg) -- Sales at U.S. retailers unexpectedly fell in July as a boost from the cash-for-clunkers automobile incentive program failed to overcome cuts in other spending.

The 0.1 percent decrease in sales, the first drop in three months, followed a revised 0.8 percent gain in June that was larger than previously estimated, Commerce Department figures showed today in Washington. Purchases excluding automobiles fell 0.6 percent, also more than anticipated.

Today’s report underscores the threat to spending from the continued deterioration in the job market; a separate government report today showed more Americans than forecast filed claims for unemployment insurance last week. Retailers such as Wal-Mart Stores Inc. and Macy’s Inc. are cutting costs and inventories to bolster profits as households cut back on non-essential items.

The table from Nomura is rather interesting (click to enlarge), with a full comment here.

The commentary by BNP Paribas available here.
Non-bank commentators like Ritholtz or Calculated Risk are somewhat dovish...

Initial weakness in equities used to buy on dip ... so far today.

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